Breaking down the top papabili who could shape the future of the Catholic Church

Vatican City, April 21, 2025 – Following the passing of Pope Francis, the Catholic Church now enters a time of transition. The papal seat is vacant, and the world turns its attention to the Sistine Chapel, where cardinals will soon gather to elect the 267th pontiff. As anticipation mounts, speculation is heating up around the most likely successors.

Here are the 7 frontrunners who could become the next leader of over a billion Catholics.

🕊️ 1. Pietro Parolin – The Vatican Diplomat

🇮🇹 Italy | 🧓 Age 70
Currently the Vatican Secretary of State, Parolin is known for his diplomatic finesse, especially in managing delicate relations with China. A moderate figure, he’s seen as a continuation of Francis’s reformist legacy.

🕊️ 2. Matteo Zuppi – The Peace Builder

🇮🇹 Italy | 🧓 Age 69
The Archbishop of Bologna, Zuppi is well-regarded for his efforts in interfaith dialogue and conflict resolution. Loved by many, though his handling of abuse cases has drawn scrutiny. Could bridge progressive and traditional currents.

🕊️ 3. Luis Antonio Tagle – The “Asian Francis”

🇵🇭 Philippines | 🧓 Age 67
Former Archbishop of Manila and a key figure in Caritas Internationalis. Charismatic and deeply pastoral, Tagle is seen as a symbol of a truly global Church. Could become the first Asian Pope in modern history.

🕊️ 4. Peter Turkson – The African Front-Runner

🇬🇭 Ghana | 🧓 Age 76
Renowned for his commitment to social justice and environmental issues, Turkson has held top roles in the Vatican Curia. If chosen, he would be the first African Pope of the contemporary era.

🕊️ 5. Jean-Marc Aveline – The Voice of Inclusion

🇫🇷 France | 🧓 Age 66
The Archbishop of Marseille stands out for his progressive outlook and passion for interreligious cooperation. His election would mark a strong step toward a more inclusive, globally minded Church.

🕊️ 6. Pierbattista Pizzaballa – The Middle East Mediator

🇮🇹 Italy | 🧓 Age 59
Latin Patriarch of Jerusalem, Pizzaballa is a seasoned figure in religious diplomacy. His neutrality and calm presence make him a dark horse compromise candidate.

🕊️ 7. Peter Erdő – The Conservative Theologian

🇭🇺 Hungary | 🧓 Age 72
Archbishop of Esztergom-Budapest, Erdő is deeply rooted in Catholic doctrine and theology. His papacy could signal a return to more traditional values and teachings.

🔮 Final Thoughts: The Spirit Moves in Mysterious Ways

Although over 80% of voting cardinals were appointed by Pope Francis—suggesting a likely reform-minded successor—history shows that papal elections are never predictable. In the end, anything can happen behind the locked doors of the Sistine Chapel.